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Classifying Trades In FX And Crypto

Deciding whether a trade was buyer- or seller-initiated is harder in FX and crypto than in equities, because there is no single consolidated quote or exchange tape to compare a trade price against.

Prerequisites: Trade Signing And The Lee-Ready Rule

The Trade Signing And The Lee-Ready Rule method — comparing a trade price to the prevailing quote midpoint, and falling back to the tick rule when a trade sits exactly on the midpoint — was built for a world with one clearly defined national best bid and offer. FX and crypto markets do not have that: FX trading is fragmented across many bilateral dealer venues and ECNs with no single consolidated quote, and crypto trading is split across dozens of exchanges, each publishing its own order book with no obligation to be consistent with any other. A trade classified as buyer-initiated on one venue's quotes might look seller-initiated against another venue's simultaneous quotes.

Practitioners adapt by classifying trades venue by venue, against that venue's own best bid/offer at the time, and then aggregating signed volume across venues rather than pretending there is one universal tape. The tick rule (comparing a trade to the previous trade price on the same venue) remains reliable, since it only needs data from a single continuous stream, but it degrades when trading is thin enough that the "previous trade" is stale. In practice, many crypto trading venues also publish an explicit taker-side flag with every trade — whether the aggressor lifted an ask or hit a bid — which sidesteps trade classification entirely and is preferred whenever it is available, since it is a fact reported by the exchange rather than an inference.

Fragmentation across venues, not any change in the underlying logic, is what makes trade classification harder in FX and crypto: apply Lee-Ready or the tick rule per venue against that venue's own quotes, and prefer an exchange's own reported taker-side flag whenever one exists.

Related concepts

Practice in interviews

Further reading

  • Easley, López de Prado & O'Hara, The Volume Clock: Insights into the High-Frequency Paradigm (2012)
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