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How many days until recovery?

A patient is either Ill or Recovering, until they become Healthy. Each day:

  • From Ill: stay Ill with probability 0.60.6, or move to Recovering with probability 0.40.4.
  • From Recovering: relapse to Ill with probability 0.20.2, or become Healthy with probability 0.80.8.

Healthy ends the process. The patient starts Ill.

On average, how many days until the patient is Healthy?

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