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A subgroup effect that is significant for one group only

A signal's effect is estimated within two market regimes. In regime A the effect is 4.04.0 bp with standard error 1.51.5 bp (zA2.67z_A \approx 2.67, p0.008p \approx 0.008, significant). In regime B it is 2.02.0 bp with standard error 1.61.6 bp (zB1.25z_B \approx 1.25, p0.21p \approx 0.21, not significant). A researcher announces, "The signal works in regime A but not in regime B."

Test whether the effect genuinely differs between the two regimes, and explain the error in claiming a regime interaction from the two separate p-values.

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