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Foundational

The Rule of 72

A mental-math shortcut for estimating how long it takes an investment to double at a given compound growth rate, without needing a calculator or logarithms.

Doubling time at a compound rate rr is exactly ln(2)/ln(1+r)\ln(2)/\ln(1+r), which is a miserable thing to compute in your head during an interview. The Rule of 72 replaces it with an approximation almost anyone can do without a calculator: divide 72 by the annual growth rate, expressed as a whole-number percentage, and the result is roughly the number of years to double.

At an 8% annual return, doubling time is about 72/8=972/8 = 9 years. At 6%, it's 72/6=1272/6 = 12 years. At 12%, it's 72/12=672/12 = 6 years. The number 72 is chosen deliberately over the mathematically "purer" 100×ln(2)69.3100 \times \ln(2) \approx 69.3 because 72 divides evenly by more small integers (2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9, 12), making the mental arithmetic cleaner, at a small cost in accuracy.

The approximation is best in the 6–10% range, where it's typically accurate to within a few percent of the true doubling time; it drifts further off at very low rates (under 2%) or very high ones (above 20%), where the underlying logarithm curves away from the straight-line approximation the rule assumes. For quick interview mental math or a back-of-envelope portfolio sanity check, though, it's accurate enough to be genuinely useful rather than just a party trick.

Divide 72 by the percentage growth rate to estimate years to double — it's a linear approximation to a logarithmic formula, most accurate in the ordinary 6–10% range and progressively less reliable at extreme rates.

Related concepts

Practice in interviews

Further reading

  • Bernstein, The Four Pillars of Investing, ch. 2
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