Range Value at Risk
A risk measure that averages losses over a middle band of the tail, between two confidence levels, instead of everything beyond a single cutoff, trading some sensitivity to the very worst outcomes for robustness against noisy extreme observations.
Prerequisites: Value at Risk (VaR), Expected Shortfall (CVaR)
Expected Shortfall averages every loss beyond a single Value at Risk cutoff, everything past, say, the 95th percentile. That's exactly what makes it sensitive to the single worst historical observation in the sample: if the tail beyond the cutoff contains only a handful of data points, one unusually extreme (or unusually noisy) loss can swing the average a lot. Range Value at Risk (RVaR) responds by averaging losses over a band, between two confidence levels, say, from the 95th to the 99th percentile, deliberately excluding the very extreme tail beyond the upper cutoff from the calculation.
Formally, is the average loss between the and quantiles for , which reduces to ordinary Expected Shortfall in the limit as (the upper cutoff pushed out to include everything). By excluding the most extreme observations, RVaR is more robust to a single outlier data point or to the kind of estimation noise that plagues a thinly-populated extreme tail, but it deliberately gives up sensitivity to exactly the catastrophic scenarios a risk manager might most want captured, a fund could technically look fine on RVaR while still carrying real exposure to a true tail event that RVaR's upper cutoff has excluded from the calculation.
Range Value at Risk averages losses over a band between two confidence levels rather than the whole tail beyond a single cutoff, buying robustness against noisy extreme observations at the direct cost of ignoring the most catastrophic outcomes, a trade-off worth being explicit about before using it in place of ordinary Expected Shortfall.
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Further reading
- Cont, Deguest & Scandolo, Robustness and Sensitivity of Risk Measurement Procedures