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Range Value at Risk

A risk measure that averages losses over a middle band of the tail, between two confidence levels, instead of everything beyond a single cutoff — trading some sensitivity to the very worst outcomes for robustness against noisy extreme observations.

Prerequisites: Value at Risk (VaR), Expected Shortfall (CVaR)

Expected Shortfall averages every loss beyond a single Value at Risk cutoff — everything past, say, the 95th percentile. That's exactly what makes it sensitive to the single worst historical observation in the sample: if the tail beyond the cutoff contains only a handful of data points, one unusually extreme (or unusually noisy) loss can swing the average a lot. Range Value at Risk (RVaR) responds by averaging losses over a band, between two confidence levels — say, from the 95th to the 99th percentile — deliberately excluding the very extreme tail beyond the upper cutoff from the calculation.

Formally, RVaRα,β(L)\mathrm{RVaR}_{\alpha,\beta}(L) is the average loss between the (1α)(1-\alpha) and (1β)(1-\beta) quantiles for α<β\alpha < \beta, which reduces to ordinary Expected Shortfall in the limit as β0\beta \to 0 (the upper cutoff pushed out to include everything). By excluding the most extreme observations, RVaR is more robust to a single outlier data point or to the kind of estimation noise that plagues a thinly-populated extreme tail, but it deliberately gives up sensitivity to exactly the catastrophic scenarios a risk manager might most want captured — a fund could technically look fine on RVaR while still carrying real exposure to a true tail event that RVaR's upper cutoff has excluded from the calculation.

Range Value at Risk averages losses over a band between two confidence levels rather than the whole tail beyond a single cutoff, buying robustness against noisy extreme observations at the direct cost of ignoring the most catastrophic outcomes — a trade-off worth being explicit about before using it in place of ordinary Expected Shortfall.

Related concepts

Practice in interviews

Further reading

  • Cont, Deguest & Scandolo, Robustness and Sensitivity of Risk Measurement Procedures
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