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Price Delay Measures

Statistics that quantify how slowly a stock's price incorporates market-wide information, built by seeing how much of today's return is explained only once you add lagged market returns to the regression.

Prerequisites: Autocorrelation and Serial Correlation

A price delay measure asks: how much of a stock's price reaction to market-wide news happens immediately, versus trickling in over the following days? Some stocks — heavily traded, widely followed — absorb market moves almost instantly. Others, especially small, illiquid, or thinly analyzed names, only fully reflect a market move over several subsequent trading days, because fewer people are watching and trading them in real time.

The standard construction, due to Hou and Moskowitz, regresses a stock's return on the contemporaneous market return alone, then re-runs it adding several lags of the market return. If including the lags meaningfully improves the fit (raises the R2R^2), that means a chunk of the stock's reaction to market news was actually delayed rather than instantaneous — the "delay" score is built from the ratio of these two R2R^2 values.

Suppose a stock's contemporaneous-only regression gives an R2R^2 of 0.10, and adding four days of lagged market returns raises it to 0.16. The delay measure attributes (0.160.10)/0.1638%(0.16-0.10)/0.16 \approx 38\% of the stock's explained variance to lagged, delayed price adjustment rather than instantaneous incorporation — a high-delay stock compared to a large liquid name where lags would add almost nothing.

Researchers use price delay this way as a proxy for how much attention a stock gets: it tends to be higher for smaller, less analyst-covered names, and stocks with high measured delay have historically shown a modest but persistent extra return, consistent with investors demanding compensation for holding names that are slower and costlier to research and trade.

Price delay measures quantify how much of a stock's reaction to market news arrives with a lag rather than instantly, using the improvement in regression fit from adding lagged market returns — high-delay names tend to be smaller and less liquid, and their slow information absorption is itself a documented source of predictable short-horizon returns.

Related concepts

Practice in interviews

Further reading

  • Hou & Moskowitz, 'Market Frictions, Price Delay, and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns' (2005)
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