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The vaccine trial where the control group was protected too

Researchers randomly vaccinate some people in a small town and leave others unvaccinated as controls, then compare infection rates. The gap between vaccinated and unvaccinated turns out smaller than the vaccine's known biological effect, and someone concludes the vaccine is weak.

Explain how spillover produces this, and how the design should change to measure the effect properly.

Your answer

This one is open-ended. Work it through, then check your reasoning against the full solution.

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