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Is a random chord longer than the radius?

Asked at Jane Street

A chord is drawn at random in a circle of radius rr.

What is the probability that the chord is longer than the radius?

Careful: this question does not have a single answer until you pin down how the chord is drawn. Give the answer under the three standard interpretations and explain why they differ.

Show a hint

A chord of a unit circle at perpendicular distance dd from the center has length 21d22\sqrt{1-d^2}; a chord subtending central half-angle α\alpha has length 2sinα2\sin\alpha. Each "random" method induces a different distribution on dd (or α\alpha).

Your answer

This one is open-ended. Work it through, then check your reasoning against the full solution.

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