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Expected winning and second-highest bid in an auction

Asked at Jane Street

An item draws nn independent bids, each uniform on [0,1][0, 1] (measured as a fraction of the item's max value).

What is the expected highest bid, and the expected second-highest bid? Apply both to n=4n = 4.

Show a hint

The highest bid is the max of the draws; the second-highest is the next order statistic down. Each uniform order statistic has a clean expected value.

Your answer

This one is open-ended. Work it through, then check your reasoning against the full solution.

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