Quant Memo
Market Making/●●●●●

Overround on a three-way soccer market

A bookmaker prices a soccer match (three outcomes: home, draw, away) at decimal odds of 2.002.00, 3.303.30, and 3.803.80.

What is the overround, what does the bookmaker hold on a balanced book, and what fair probabilities is it implying for each outcome?

Show a hint

Same recipe as a two-way market, just three implied probabilities to add. A fair three-way book sums to 11.

Your answer

This one is open-ended. Work it through, then check your reasoning against the full solution.

More Market Making questions