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Emerging Markets

20 articles · 3 checkpoints · 13 deeper reads · 4 reference notes

A standalone topic: it is on no roadmap, so read it on its own terms.

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  1. Many emerging-market governments and companies can't borrow long-term in their own currency, so they borrow in dollars instead, a fix that trades away currency risk on the debt for currency risk on the borrower, which is exactly the trap that turns an ordinary devaluation into a debt crisis.

  2. An emerging-market government can borrow in its own currency, which it can inflate or devalue away, or in dollars, which it can't print, the choice moves the same risk between the lender and the borrower, and never actually makes it disappear.

  3. A sudden stop is what happens when foreign capital that had been flowing steadily into a country simply stops arriving, almost overnight, and because many emerging economies rely on that inflow just to fund everyday imports, the stop alone can trigger a crisis even if nothing else changed.

Then the rest

Reference notes4 short entries