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Slutsky's Theorem

A rule for combining a value that's converging to a fixed number with one that's converging to a random distribution, so you can keep working with the combination directly.

In statistics, an estimator is often built from two pieces at once: one piece that settles down to a genuinely random limit (like a sample mean, which by the central limit theorem converges to a normal distribution), and another piece that settles down to a fixed, non-random number (like a sample variance estimate, which converges to the true variance). Slutsky's theorem tells you exactly how to combine these two different kinds of limits and still get a sensible answer.

Formally, if XndXX_n \xrightarrow{d} X (converges in distribution to a random variable XX) and YnpcY_n \xrightarrow{p} c (converges in probability to a constant cc), then:

Xn+YndX+c,XnYndcX,XnYndXc  (c0).X_n + Y_n \xrightarrow{d} X + c, \qquad X_n Y_n \xrightarrow{d} cX, \qquad \frac{X_n}{Y_n} \xrightarrow{d} \frac{X}{c} \; (c \neq 0).

In plain English: once one of the two pieces has stopped being random and locked onto a fixed number, you can treat it like an ordinary constant when combining it with the still-random piece — the randomness of XnX_n passes through additions, multiplications and divisions unchanged, just scaled or shifted by cc.

Worked example. Say XˉndN(0,1)\bar{X}_n \xrightarrow{d} N(0, 1) (a standardized sample mean) and snp2s_n \xrightarrow{p} 2 (a sample standard deviation converging to the true value 2). Slutsky's theorem says Xˉn/sndN(0,1)/2\bar{X}_n / s_n \xrightarrow{d} N(0,1)/2, i.e. a normal distribution scaled to have standard deviation 1/21/2 — you don't need to track the joint randomness of Xˉn\bar X_n and sns_n together, because sns_n's randomness has already died out in the limit.

This is exactly the justification for the standard t-statistic construction: dividing an asymptotically normal quantity by an estimated standard error and still getting a known limiting distribution, which is what makes confidence intervals and hypothesis tests built from estimated variances valid in large samples.

Slutsky's theorem lets you treat a quantity that has converged to a constant as an ordinary constant when it's combined (added, multiplied, divided) with a quantity that's still converging to a random distribution — the backbone of why plugging in an estimated standard error still gives a valid large-sample test.

Related concepts

Practice in interviews

Further reading

  • Casella and Berger, Statistical Inference, ch. 5
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