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The Obizhaeva-Wang Transient Impact Model

Trading depresses the price, and then the book heals — new liquidity slowly refills the levels you just ate. Obizhaeva-Wang models that healing explicitly, which is what lets it say something Almgren-Chriss can't: trading fast and then pausing is different from trading slowly and steadily.

Prerequisites: Market Impact, The Almgren-Chriss Model

Trade a large order and the price moves against you — that's Market Impact. But impact doesn't just appear and sit there forever. Eat through the offers, and a minute later new sellers show up at prices close to where you started, because the book heals. Simple impact models — push the price by an amount proportional to your trading rate, full stop — can't tell the difference between one order that eats a lot fast and pauses, versus one that eats a little steadily. Obizhaeva-Wang (2013) can, because it models the healing directly.

The picture: a block of liquidity you dig into

Think of the order book not as a list of prices but as a reservoir of resting volume sitting at each price level, with density qq shares per cent of price movement. A market order of size xx digs a hole of depth x/qx/q into that reservoir — the price moves by x/qx/q to absorb it. Left alone, the hole doesn't stay: liquidity providers refill it, and the price relaxes back toward where it was, at some decay rate ρ\rho. Trade again before it's healed, and you're digging into a shallower reservoir, so the same size order moves the price further.

Formally, the price impact from a single trade of size xx at time 00 decays as

D(t)=xqeρtD(t) = \frac{x}{q} e^{-\rho t}

In words: the price displacement starts at x/qx/q (same as before) and decays exponentially with half-life ln2/ρ\ln 2 / \rho. Trade continuously at rate x˙s\dot{x}_s and the impacts from every past instant sum up, each decaying at its own age — the total displacement at time tt is the accumulated, still-live residue of every trade so far.

Worked example: two trades, same total size

Suppose q=10,000q = 10{,}000 shares per $1 of price, and ρ\rho gives a 5-minute half-life (ρ0.139\rho \approx 0.139 per minute). You need to buy 4,000 shares total.

Strategy A — one block, then wait. Buy all 4,000 shares in one clip. Impact: 4000/10000=4000/10000 = $0.40. Five minutes later, half has decayed: displacement is down to $0.20.

Strategy B — split into two, five minutes apart. Buy 2,000 now: impact $0.20. Wait five minutes — that impact decays to $0.10. Buy the remaining 2,000: adds another $0.20 on top of the $0.10 still outstanding, for $0.30 total, versus $0.40 for the block. Splitting and waiting for partial healing bought you a cheaper second clip, because you weren't trading against a book you'd already dug into as deeply.

time (minutes) impact ($) A: one block, 0.40 B: split, 0.20 then 0.30 2nd clip
Trading in one block pushes the price further than splitting the same size across two clips with a gap to let the book partially heal.

Impact is transient, not permanent: it decays at rate ρ\rho as the book refills. Waiting between clips lets some of your own damage heal before you add more, which is why bursty trading followed by a pause can beat both an instant block and a perfectly smooth drip.

Where it changes the answer

Almgren-Chriss (the workhorse cost-vs-risk optimal execution model) typically assumes impact is either fully permanent or fully instantaneous and temporary — it has no notion of partial healing over time. Obizhaeva-Wang shows that with resilience, the optimal trajectory front-loads trading with an initial block, then trades smoothly, then closes with another block — a "U-shaped" schedule — rather than the smooth, symmetric curve simple models suggest. The initial and final blocks exploit the fact that a single sharp trade against a fresh reservoir is efficient, while ongoing continuous trading avoids re-digging a hole that hasn't healed yet.

The model has one arbitrage-adjacent restriction: if ρ\rho is too small relative to how fast you can trade, a clever round trip (buy, wait, sell) can extract impact as pure profit, which shouldn't be possible in an efficient market. Calibrations need ρ\rho large enough, or extra structure, to rule this out — a reminder that impact models are easy to write down and easy to make internally inconsistent.

In interviews

Be able to state the mechanism in one sentence — "impact decays exponentially as the book refills, so recent trades matter more than old ones" — before touching the formula. If pushed on why a U-shaped schedule beats a flat one, the honest answer is that resilience makes concentrated trading against a fresh book cheaper per share than trading continuously into a book you're actively depleting, up to the point where impact starts compounding. Compare against the smoother schedules implied by The Square-Root Impact Law and plain Optimal Execution.

Related concepts

Practice in interviews

Further reading

  • Obizhaeva & Wang (2013), Optimal Trading Strategy and Supply/Demand Dynamics
  • Gatheral, No-Dynamic-Arbitrage and Market Impact
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