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The Brinson-Fachler Model

When a portfolio beats its benchmark, the Brinson-Fachler model splits the reason into two separate skills, did the manager overweight the sectors that went on to outperform (allocation), and did the manager pick the better stocks within each sector (selection).

Prerequisites: Contribution to Return

Beating a benchmark can happen two completely different ways: being in the right places, or picking the right names once there. A manager who overweighted Tech before a rally and simply held the sector's average stocks still beat the benchmark, that's a bet on where to be, not what to pick. A manager who held the benchmark's exact sector weights but consistently found the best stock in each one also beat the benchmark, for the opposite reason. The Brinson-Fachler model exists to tell those two managers apart, sector by sector.

Splitting active return into two effects

For each sector ii, active return splits into:

Allocationi=(wp,iwb,i)(rb,irb),Selectioni=wb,i(rp,irb,i).\text{Allocation}_i = (w_{p,i} - w_{b,i})(r_{b,i} - r_b), \qquad \text{Selection}_i = w_{b,i}(r_{p,i} - r_{b,i}) .

In words: wp,iw_{p,i} and wb,iw_{b,i} are the portfolio's and benchmark's weight in sector ii; rp,ir_{p,i} and rb,ir_{b,i} are the portfolio's and benchmark's return within that sector; rbr_b is the benchmark's total return. Allocation asks: did the manager over- or underweight this sector relative to the benchmark, and did that sector go on to beat or lag the overall benchmark? Selection asks: within this sector specifically, did the manager's chosen stocks beat the sector's own benchmark return, weighted by how much the benchmark (not the portfolio) had in that sector, so a manager can't inflate their selection score just by overweighting a sector they're good at picking in. Summed across every sector, the two effects together reconstruct the total active return exactly.

Worked example, one sector, both effects

In the Technology sector, the benchmark holds a 20% weight and returns 12%12\%; the overall benchmark returns 8%8\%. The portfolio holds a 30% weight in Technology (a 10-point overweight) and its Technology stocks return 15%15\% (3 points ahead of the sector benchmark). Allocation: (0.300.20)(12%8%)=0.10×4%=0.40%(0.30 - 0.20)(12\% - 8\%) = 0.10 \times 4\% = 0.40\%, being overweight a sector that beat the overall benchmark added 40 basis points. Selection: 0.20×(15%12%)=0.20×3%=0.60%0.20 \times (15\% - 12\%) = 0.20 \times 3\% = 0.60\%, picking better stocks within Technology, weighted at the benchmark's 20% sector size, added another 60 basis points. This sector alone contributed 0.40%+0.60%=1.00%0.40\% + 0.60\% = 1.00\% of active return, split roughly 40/60 between being in the right place and picking the right names.

overweight + sector beat benchmark allocation: positive overweight + sector lagged benchmark allocation: negative portfolio stocks beat sector's own benchmark selection: positive
Allocation and selection are graded on independent scales, overweighting a sector helps only if that sector beat the overall benchmark; selection only credits stock-picking within the sector's own return.

What this means in practice

Institutional performance reports break active return into these two effects sector by sector (often with a small interaction term for the part attributable to both effects acting together) precisely so an allocator can separate a top-down asset allocation decision from bottom-up stock-picking skill, a manager might be genuinely excellent at one and mediocre at the other, and blending both into a single "beat the benchmark by 2%" headline hides which one actually happened.

The Brinson-Fachler model splits active return into an allocation effect (was the sector bet right) and a selection effect (were the stocks within it right), letting a manager's top-down and bottom-up skill be judged separately instead of blurred into one number.

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Further reading

  • Brinson & Fachler, Measuring Non-U.S. Equity Portfolio Performance (1985)
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