The Appraisal Ratio
A measure of a manager's stock-picking skill that divides the return generated beyond a benchmark by the riskiness of that extra return alone, isolating skill from broad market exposure.
A manager who simply holds more of the market and gets lucky in an up year can look skillful on a raw-return basis, even with no genuine stock-picking ability. The appraisal ratio was designed, originally by Treynor and Black, to separate skill from market exposure by measuring risk-adjusted alpha, the return that isn't explained by the manager's market beta at all.
The formula is , where (Jensen's alpha) is the manager's average return in excess of what their market beta alone would predict, and is the standard deviation of the residual, the leftover, unexplained return after stripping out the market component. Dividing by residual risk rather than total risk means a manager isn't penalized for taking on ordinary market risk; only unrewarded, idiosyncratic noise around their alpha counts against them.
Suppose a manager's regression against the market produces an alpha of 2% per year, with a residual standard deviation of 4% (the year-to-year noise in that alpha once market moves are stripped out). Appraisal ratio = 2 / 4 = 0.5, a decent, though not exceptional, figure; ratios above roughly 0.5 are generally considered attractive for an active manager, since sustaining even a modest, low-noise alpha consistently is hard.
The appraisal ratio is closely related to the information ratio (which uses tracking error against a benchmark rather than beta-adjusted residual risk) and is the metric underlying the Treynor-Black model for how much a portfolio should tilt toward an active manager's views versus a passive index.
The appraisal ratio divides a manager's beta-adjusted alpha by the standard deviation of that alpha's residual noise, isolating genuine stock-picking skill from ordinary market exposure, a manager only scores well by generating excess return that is both real and consistent.
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Further reading
- Treynor & Black, 'How to Use Security Analysis to Improve Portfolio Selection'