The Liquidity-Adjusted CAPM
An extension of the standard CAPM that recognizes both an asset's expected return and its illiquidity can be systematically priced, and that an asset's own liquidity can dry up exactly when the whole market's liquidity does, making that comovement its own priced risk.
The standard CAPM says an asset's expected return depends only on its covariance with the overall market's return, its beta. It quietly assumes trading is frictionless, which is never quite true: every trade costs something in spread and price impact, and that cost itself varies with market conditions. Acharya and Pedersen's liquidity-adjusted CAPM builds those trading costs directly into the pricing model, and in doing so uncovers a second, subtler risk: an asset's liquidity tends to dry up precisely when the whole market's liquidity dries up, and investors demand compensation for holding assets that become hardest to sell exactly when selling matters most.
The model decomposes required return into the ordinary market-beta compensation plus a net liquidity effect made of three separate covariance terms: the covariance of the asset's own illiquidity with market illiquidity (the "flight to liquidity" risk), the covariance of the asset's return with market illiquidity, and the covariance of the asset's illiquidity with market return. Put in plain English, holding an asset that becomes especially illiquid whenever the whole market seizes up, as during a crisis, is riskier than a standard beta calculation alone would suggest, so investors need to be paid extra expected return to hold it.
For instance, two stocks with identical market betas might trade at different expected returns if one's bid-ask spread reliably blows out during broad market stress while the other's stays stable, the model attributes that gap to priced liquidity risk rather than treating it as an anomaly.
The liquidity-adjusted CAPM extends standard beta pricing by adding compensation for an asset's illiquidity and, crucially, for the tendency of an asset's liquidity to evaporate together with the whole market's liquidity during stress, a comovement that is itself a distinct, priced source of risk.
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Related concepts
- Liquidity Black Holes
- The Liquidity Risk Premium
- The Abdi-Ranaldo Spread Estimator
- Corporate Bond Liquidity And Dealer Balance Sheets
- The Corwin-Schultz High-Low Spread Estimator
- The March 2020 Dash For Cash
- Depth Versus Breadth Of Liquidity
- Displayed Versus Accessible Liquidity
- The Pastor-Stambaugh Liquidity Measure
Further reading
- Acharya and Pedersen, Asset Pricing with Liquidity Risk, Journal of Financial Economics